Balk vs WHC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FCB
0 - 1
BAL
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 2
WIN
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VVG
2 - 1
BAL
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
LEE
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 1
BAL
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 0
WHC
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WHC
5 - 0
ZMV
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PKC
2 - 1
WHC
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WHC
3 - 2
BLA
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DRA
3 - 3
WHC
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |