Balk vs Winsum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VVG
2 - 1
BAL
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
LEE
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 1
BAL
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 3
PKC
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PEL
8 - 0
BAL
70%
17%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 3
PKC
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FCB
3 - 3
WIN
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 4
DRA
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 4
PEL
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |