Bala Azul vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MOR
4 - 0
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAL
23%
27%
51%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
JUM
4 - 1
BAL
59%
22%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
IMP
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 2
BAL
65%
22%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ALQ
0 - 2
SGI
35%
26%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MUL
3 - 1
ALQ
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CFB
4 - 0
ALQ
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ALQ
2 - 1
OLI
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |