Bakaridjan vs USFAS Bamako analysis


65	ELO	64
-21.9%	Tilt	-15.9%
2786º	General ELO ranking	2764º
7º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

38.8%

Bakaridjan

30%

Draw

31.1%

USFAS Bamako

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%

30%

Draw

0-0

12.5%

1-1

13.4%

2-2

3.6%

3-3

0.4%

4-4

<0%

0

30%

31.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-5%

+14%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bakaridjan

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
26 Apr. 2015	STA 2 - 0 BAK 47% 28% 25%	64	64	0
22 Apr. 2015	BAK 3 - 0 SAB 45% 29% 26%	64	59	5
11 Apr. 2015	ONZ 2 - 2 BAK 51% 26% 23%	64	64	0
28 Mar. 2015	BAK 0 - 0 MAM 41% 29% 30%	64	62	2
27 Feb. 2015	DUG 0 - 0 BAK 43% 29% 28%	64	63	1

Matches

USFAS Bamako

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Apr. 2015	USF 2 - 0 ASN 45% 27% 28%	63	61	2	0
22 Apr. 2015	POL 1 - 2 USF 45% 28% 27%	62	62	0	+1
10 Apr. 2015	USF 1 - 3 ASR 39% 28% 33%	63	64	1	-1
27 Mar. 2015	ASB 1 - 0 USF 40% 28% 32%	63	59	4	0
13 Mar. 2015	USF 1 - 0 OLY 52% 27% 21%	62	59	3	+1