Bagnolese vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 1
BAG
31%
25%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAG
0 - 3
PIS
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAG
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAG
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BAG
3 - 1
VIR
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 1
CER
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ACE
2 - 1
VIR
69%
18%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |