Bærum vs IL Stjørdals-Blink analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
38
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
STR
61%
19%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IKJ
3 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRA
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSK
2 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
IL Stjørdals-Blink
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STB
2 - 1
SSK
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ULL
0 - 3
STB
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STB
4 - 2
ALT
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 2
STB
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
STB
1 - 1
TRO
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |