Bærum vs Mjøndalen IF II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.4%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
5º
11
14º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 5
BAR
14%
17%
70%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
AIF
93%
5%
2%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 1
BAR
17%
18%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
ULL
68%
16%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
OPP
57%
21%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
0 - 6
ASK
11%
16%
74%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ULL
4 - 1
MJO
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 3
GOF
55%
19%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
OPP
2 - 0
MJO
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 3
SAR
19%
18%
63%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |