Azerbaijan vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 0
AZE
77%
17%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 0
AUT
11%
20%
70%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
NIR
2 - 0
AZE
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
ALB
2 - 1
AZE
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 3
POL
11%
22%
68%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
UKR
1 - 0
JPN
31%
28%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
UKR
2 - 2
ALB
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
UKR
0 - 1
TUR
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
GEO
1 - 1
UKR
37%
29%
33%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
UKR
2 - 1
SCG
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |