Ayr United vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
RAI
2 - 1
AYR
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 4
HIB
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 2
QOS
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
KIL
2 - 0
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
KIL
1 - 2
ROS
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
MHE
3 - 1
KIL
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
KIL
2 - 1
ICT
41%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
KIL
0 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |