Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
STM
2 - 1
AYR
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 3
HIB
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
AYR
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 0
QOS
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 3
AYR
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HIB
1 - 1
FAL
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 0
FAL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 4
RAI
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 1
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |