Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 1
QOS
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
AYR
1 - 0
RAI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
CLY
2 - 1
AYR
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
AYR
1 - 1
STJ
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
STM
3 - 2
AYR
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RAI
2 - 0
FAL
27%
25%
49%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
QOS
2 - 0
FAL
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
FAL
0 - 0
STM
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
FAL
29%
25%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FAL
0 - 2
CLY
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |