Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
AYR
2 - 0
STM
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
STJ
3 - 0
AYR
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 2
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ROS
1 - 1
AYR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ICT
2 - 1
AYR
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
FAL
2 - 1
ICT
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
FAL
5 - 0
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
STM
1 - 1
FAL
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FAL
0 - 2
ABE
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
CLY
4 - 2
FAL
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |