Ayr United vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AYR
5 - 0
SUN
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DUM
3 - 2
AYR
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 0
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PET
2 - 4
AYR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALL
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DUM
1 - 2
GRE
34%
24%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DUM
3 - 2
AYR
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUM
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DUM
4 - 1
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STE
4 - 0
DUM
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |