Avro vs Isle of Man analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
KEN
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIT
0 - 1
AFC
10%
16%
75%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAU
1 - 2
AFC
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 2
AFC
12%
17%
72%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
IRL
1 - 2
AFC
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
IOM
0 - 2
ALI
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
IOM
2 - 3
LIT
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
IOM
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IOM
2 - 1
CHA
11%
15%
75%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
IOM
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |