Avion vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LSC
2 - 3
AVI
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
AVI
0 - 1
DRA
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FEI
1 - 1
AVI
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
AVI
0 - 2
LIL
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 1
AVI
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
IVR
1 - 3
SED
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
REI
1 - 0
IVR
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
IVR
0 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 3
IVR
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LSC
0 - 0
IVR
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |