Aviación vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 0
AVC
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
AVC
2 - 3
INT
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HUM
3 - 2
AVC
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
AVC
3 - 2
ORC
13%
21%
67%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ALA
3 - 1
AVC
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARG
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CDF
0 - 0
VAL
17%
22%
60%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
ARY
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
COL
1 - 2
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALC
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |