Avântul Reghin vs Ocna Mureș analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
6º
6º
9
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avântul Reghin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UAI
0 - 0
AVA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 2
HUN
7%
15%
78%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 2
AVA
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
AVA
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
FCU
60%
22%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ocna Mureș
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VII
3 - 0
CSO
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 1
CSU
4%
11%
85%
|
26 | 79 | 53 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
2 - 3
UAI
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
7 - 0
CSO
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
3 - 1
CSO
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |