Botafogo ASF vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
EST
9%
15%
75%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
ABS
84%
12%
4%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
AMA
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
64%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |