Avaí vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
AVA
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PPE
2 - 2
AVA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 0
CSA
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
AVA
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OES
0 - 0
JUV
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 0
FFL
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 3
FOR
37%
30%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
JUV
65%
23%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |