Avaí vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
COR
3 - 0
AVA
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AVA
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
AVA
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAN
19%
28%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
PAL
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 1
FLU
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLU
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 2
FLU
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |