Avaí vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 3
AVA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 0
COT
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 2
VAS
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CRZ
5 - 0
AVA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
2 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 4
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 2
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |