Avaí vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
SCI
0 - 0
AVA
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 2
GOI
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
COR
3 - 0
AVA
75%
18%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
AMF
25%
29%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
COT
3 - 2
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 2
COT
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
COT
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
COT
3 - 0
GOI
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |