Avaí vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
AVA
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ECP
1 - 1
AVA
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
AVA
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
CAC
31%
23%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 3
MET
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
4 - 0
ECP
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAC
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |