Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
AVA
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 0
FFL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
AVA
10%
20%
70%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
CAM
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
CAC
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
CRI
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 1
BRU
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |