Auxerre vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
STR
2 - 1
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
AUX
2 - 0
STL
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
REI
3 - 0
AUX
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
AUX
0 - 1
LHA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
NIO
2 - 1
CLE
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 1
NIO
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
NIO
1 - 0
ORL
37%
27%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
RED
0 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 0
GAZ
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |