Austria XIII vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SCW
3 - 0
AUS
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 4
AUS
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
POS
3 - 0
AUS
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 2
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 0
STA
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
GER
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 4
AUS
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
LAC
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ADM
2 - 0
FOR
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
OST
0 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |