Aurora FC vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JUP
2 - 0
AUR
43%
28%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZAC
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
DBC
1 - 1
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 0
DBC
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
JUP
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
SAC
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
ZAC
40%
29%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAC
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |