FC Augsburg II vs Bayern München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
15º
7º
54
5º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
AUG
0 - 1
TAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AUG
3 - 1
WAC
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
0 - 0
AUG
25%
22%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUG
4 - 2
GRE
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
AUG
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 1
WAC
81%
13%
7%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
6 - 3
EIN
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 2
ANS
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
BAY
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 2
ILL
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |