Atzeneta vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
13º
2º
39
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
41% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atzeneta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ATZ
1 - 0
LEV
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
1 - 1
ATZ
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATZ
1 - 1
PCF
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
ATZ
25%
27%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATZ
2 - 0
RAY
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
GAN
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PCF
1 - 1
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
CAS
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
ROD
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |