ATM vs USM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
PDR
1 - 1
ATM
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
ATM
3 - 0
MUA
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
FEL
0 - 0
ATM
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 2
PDR
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2010 |
DRB
1 - 2
ATM
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
USM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
KEB
2 - 3
USM
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
USM
1 - 0
PDR
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
USM
4 - 1
SHA
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
SAR
4 - 2
USM
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2010 |
USM
1 - 0
SAB
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |