At. Venezuela vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 1
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CDS
0 - 1
ATL
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ANG
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
SCG
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
LAR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
CDS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 1
LAR
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -3 |