Atlético Sorocaba vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
MAT
45%
25%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
VOT
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |