At. Saguntino vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
JOV
2 - 4
SAG
43%
27%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 1
PAT
36%
28%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
SAG
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 1
LLO
59%
24%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAG
51%
26%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 1
ALZ
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NUC
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRE
68%
21%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
NOV
44%
28%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |