At. Saguntino vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JOV
0 - 1
SAG
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAG
0 - 2
PAT
36%
28%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UTI
1 - 0
SAG
38%
27%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 0
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NUC
2 - 0
SAG
50%
26%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOR
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 2
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
TOR
57%
25%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JOV
63%
23%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 0
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |