Riachense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAT
2 - 0
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
TOR
17%
20%
64%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALC
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
5 - 1
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
LOU
13%
19%
69%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
ALC
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
FAT
30%
27%
42%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |