Atlético Policial vs Deportivo Aguilares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
POL
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POL
3 - 3
TFR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BVT
3 - 0
POL
11%
18%
72%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | -5 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
POL
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
5 - 0
TFR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
BVT
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
AGU
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 2
CON
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
AGU
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -3 |