Athletico Paranaense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
ATP
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 0
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATP
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 2
CUI
66%
22%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COT
2 - 1
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
COT
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
CEA
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COT
2 - 0
ATL
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |