Torneo Federal B - Transición Final
Global 3-5
Mitre de Salta vs Concepción FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitre de Salta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
MIT
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 1
MIT
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 2
CEN
23%
26%
52%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TAL
1 - 0
MIT
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 0
TAL
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
MIT
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
CON
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
TAB
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TAB
0 - 0
CON
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |