Atl. Mineiro vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
2 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UBE
0 - 1
ATM
11%
20%
70%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
S04
0 - 3
ATM
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOA
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
YPI
1 - 1
CAL
40%
30%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
YPI
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIO
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |