Atletico Melilla vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
LOJ
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 0
LIN
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RON
1 - 0
MAN
28%
28%
44%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |