Mancha Real vs Unión Estepona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
EST
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
ATA
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
EST
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |