Mancha Real vs Unión Estepona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
59.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 0
MAN
20%
25%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
NER
66%
20%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ARE
0 - 1
MAN
27%
27%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAN
37%
28%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
EST
3 - 2
VEL
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
UDS
2 - 1
EST
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
NIJ
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EST
3 - 1
LOJ
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |