Mancha Real vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
38%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
ATA
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |