Mancha Real vs River Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
RON
0 - 4
MAN
24%
27%
49%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
HUE
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAN
51%
26%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
UDS
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
River Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 1
RIV
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
ALQ
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 1
RIV
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
VIL
11%
17%
71%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
RIV
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |