Mancha Real vs Martos CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
MAN
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
HUE
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 2
MAN
24%
26%
49%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Martos CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
VEL
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
UDS
2 - 1
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIJ
26%
27%
47%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |