Mancha Real vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAN
35%
28%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
JUV
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ATA
0 - 0
MAN
32%
27%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALH
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
RON
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |