Mancha Real vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAN
35%
27%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
AGD
4 - 1
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
EXT
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
EXT
4 - 2
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
ADR
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALQ
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SIS
3 - 0
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
BER
73%
16%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
GAB
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |