Mancha Real vs UD Carboneras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RON
1 - 1
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 2
LOJ
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 2
MAN
28%
27%
45%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
UDS
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Carboneras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
VEL
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDS
3 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAR
14%
22%
64%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
NIJ
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
EST
11%
18%
71%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | -1 |