Atlético Malveira vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Malveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATL
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
3 - 4
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
PIN
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 1
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCB
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
PIN
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 1
LUS
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
ALM
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
LUS
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |