Atlético Gloriense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ATG
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 1
FFC
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
LAG
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |